The new Blue House is not designed just to cope with current traffic levels. The Council, we believe, is forecasting significant growth in traffic through this roundabout, leading directly to the junction’s massive size and loss of green space on the Town Moor. We thought we would have a look at the Council’s plans to see where this additional traffic might come from and what the impact might be on Newcastle as a whole.
Helpfully the ‘Newcastle City Council: Pinchpoint Application Fund Bid‘ contains some information on the likely beneficiaries which include employment sites, health services and educational establishments shown on the annotated map below. These include Newcastle University and Northumbria University, the Freeman Hospital and the Royal Victoria Infirmary, Benton Park View (known locally as “the Ministry”) and a number of businesses in and around Gosforth.
Using this map we can start to draw on the likely routes taken by traffic using these newer higher capacity junctions (shown by the blue arrows below). Whether this extra capacity is needed or not, through a process of ‘induced traffic’, it is likely that it will be used. This will mean more vehicles on all the routes shown below and any benefits in terms of reduced congestion will be short-lived.
While there is a benefit (while it lasts) to helping people get about, if this means more motor traffic rather than, for example, more walking or cycling then there is an associated cost. As we set out in our post on Gosforth High Street, these costs include reduced air quality, more road traffic collisions and noise.
Air quality is a particular issue in this case as the Blue House to Haddricks Mill route forms one arm of the South Gosforth Air Quality Management Area (AQMA) (the other arm is Gosforth High Street) and the induced traffic could lead to more air pollution in the City Centre AQMA as well.
In February 2016 the Royal College of Physicians released a report about the lifelong impact of air pollution, which said: ‘Each year in the UK, around 40,000 deaths are attributable to exposure to outdoor air pollution which plays a role in many of the major health challenges of our day. It has been linked to cancer, asthma, stroke and heart disease, diabetes, obesity, and changes linked to dementia. The health problems resulting from exposure to air pollution have a high cost to people who suffer from illness and premature death, to our health services and to business. In the UK, these costs add up to more than £20 billion every year.’
Given the potential negative health impact of air pollution, SPACE for Gosforth is concerned that a number of health institutions are being listed as beneficiaries of these schemes. These are some of the health institutions listed in the funding bid report, and also the effects of air pollution on the conditions they treat.
- The Northern Centre for Cancer Care (air pollution is a cause of cancer, “Air pollution linked to lung cancer and heart failure“);
- The Great North Children’s Hospital (“children living in areas with high levels of nitrogen dioxide have up to 10% less lung capacity) than normal“, “Children exposed to air pollution at school may be cognitively delayed“);
- The Campus for Ageing and Vitality (“air pollution linked to early form of dementia“); and
- Newcastle Fertility Centre (“Air pollution and traffic fumes tied to infertility risk“, “Traffic pollution affecting unborn children“. “Air pollution linked to sperm damage“).
In July 2016 the UK Faculty of Public Health released a report More cycling and walking; less driving, needed for our health and economy including a list of recommendations on street-design and traffic management. These recommendations can help guide us to an alternative approach that gives people genuine choices in how they can travel and with just as great a capacity to get people to where they want to go, but without the damaging side effects.
Below is the same map as before but showing the Metro and current Park and Ride locations, as well as a circle centred on the Blue House showing that most of Newcastle is within three miles. Three miles takes about fifteen minutes to cycle.
The Blue House proposal and its potential impact on the Town Moor has caused many people in Newcastle to reconsider the impact of how we travel. This is our opportunity to tell the Council how we want to get about and how we want our roads designed to support that, whether that is through wider pavements, an improved bus network, additional metro lines, park and ride, protected cycle lanes, or through an ever expanding network of urban motorways and over-sized junctions.
You can comment on the Blue House, Jesmond Dene Road and Haddricks Mill proposals on the Council’s Commonplace website.
This is what Newcastle’s Director of Public Health Professor Eugene Milne says about air quality and how we should be travelling if we want to live in a healthy city where we can all breathe clean air.
SPACE could be the group to host a mini public meeting to rally opposition to the ‘Gosforth suppository’. The councillors seem unwilling to do this. Indeed they are promoting a petition that, most likely, will be treated as but one objection. If there were a meeting at, say, the Gosforth Hotel, it could be advertised on Streetlife where a lot of concern has been expressed. The consultations have been quite inadequate. It could be a springboard for the organising of a lobby at the cabinet meeting next month at which the plan will be put. Such a meeting might have the beneficial side-effect of raising interest in Space.
Some more links on Induced Traffic for anyone who is interested.
Generated Traffic and Induced Travel Implications for Transport Planning
11 May 2016 Todd Litman, Victoria Transport Policy Institute
http://www.vtpi.org/gentraf.pdf
What’s Up With That: Building Bigger Roads Actually Makes Traffic Worse, Wired Magazine, 06.17.14
http://www.wired.com/2014/06/wuwt-traffic-induced-demand/
California’s DOT Admits That More Roads Mean More Traffic
CityLab 11 Nov 2015
http://www.citylab.com/commute/2015/11/californias-dot-admits-that-more-roads-mean-more-traffic/415245/
Over the past 2 years I have driven less and less as the metro service is quicker and easier. However for a family it is expensive to travel by metro. But it has encourage me to walk short distances.
I notice in London over the passed ten years family and friends have given up their cars it is too difficult to get round despite the congestion zone which is now becoming ineffective. Hence the rise of Uber.
I am treated for breathing difficulties due to years of living in polluted areas. When I go on holiday to the country/seaside I can breath easier and sleep better.
I hope this is of some help to your research please contact me if you need comments.
Moira Conway MA
Another health impact of this scheme would be its effect upon active travel (i.e. cycling and walking). Newcastle CC argue that it will make the junction safer for cyclists. It will not; it will make the junction so very dangerous for cyclists that they are forced off it altogether. Cyclists will be forced onto an inconvenient and circuitous route which they will share with pedestrians. When pedestrians have to share a route with pedestrians, they are put at risk. So, this scheme would act as a disincentive for both cyclists and pedestrians – putting obstacles in their way, and increasing the level of risk they would face. It generates an obesogenic environment – one in which it is most convenient, least risky, and most socially-acceptable to live an inactive lifestyle.